Trout is an obvious pick, and Benintendi and Acuna are future five-category superstars who today aren't even close to their primes. Shane Bieber His final two starts were terrifying: low spin rates, 2mph drop in fastball velocity + poor command. Jameson Taillon Had moments of bliss with the curveball and slider. Health has been a concern in the past, too, and it may turn its ugly head again in 2022. Third base is rich in future talent, but it's also full of players who could wind up at several different positions. Best of the rest: Alex Bregman (28) and Nick Senzel (26). 12 team, keep 15, 55 roto keeper league. Kershaw Steven Matz Hes asTobyas they come. Chris Bassitt I keep underrating him and this may be another season. Have been following (and usually nodding) with of the articles. Verlander $10 Berrios-$16. Corey Seager $15. Changeup + four-seamer works well, needs a cutter or slider to take the leap into the Top 15 SP. Jess Luzardo Luzardo was lost for ages until he began tossing under 40% fastballs. For more great analysis check out the 2023 FantraxHQ Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit! If you just figure inflation at an even percentage, youre going to end up with a lot of $3 players for $5 prices and a whole lot of money left on the table. Does Fantrax offer a discount for a league that has both a NL & AL league? The fluctuations seem to be a part of who he is and could lead to some tough early decisions in 2022. Jos Urquidy Urquidy missed plenty of time in 2021 but flexed a solid four-pitch mix by the end. This tier is filled with 2021 breakouts who Im not sure will last into 2022. Nick Markakis-$3 I have the following options: This is one area where I probably differ from most keeper league managers who generally dont target catchers or closers as keepers. Ive seen what works (first hand), and Ive seen what doesnt (unfortunately, also first hand). Stripling has a lot of upside, but that is weighed against the pitching depth of the Dodgers and the risk hell wind up in the bullpen. Lance McCullers Love the curveball and it will keep him relevant regardless of the rest of the pitch mix. I have 6 whats your take on who I should keep? Why is this important? Rogers $7 Could return 140 innings of bliss. Can he reliably be four-seamer/slider for a full six months? Its hard to bank on an elite ratio season ahead for any of them and Im sure to have egg on my face from at least one of these starters. Cal Quantrill It was an incredible second half, though Im skeptical his stuff is as good as the results were. I am keeping LHP Kyle Harrison, 2B Miguel Vargas, 3B Brett Baty, SS Ronny Mauricio, 1B Ivan Melendez. We are using the KDS and I would opt for a late pick in Round 1. Fantasy baseball: Head-to-head points mock draft, The Playbook, Inning 9: Mastering the 2023 fantasy baseball player pool, The Playbook, Inning 8: Advanced stats to use for fantasy baseball, Fantasy baseball: Hot stove analysis of offseason trades and free-agent signings, Karabell's way-too-early top-25 players for 2023, Fantasy baseball rankings for 2023 points leagues, Fantasy baseball rankings category-based leagues 2022. Heres the thing though. For example, Scott Kingery has made starts at five different positions for the Philadelphia Phillies this season, with the most coming at shortstop, but for 2022, I've projected him as a full-time second baseman. You cant really go wrong with any of these names though. Best of the rest: Jorge Alfaro (28) and Mike Zunino (31). So in addition to the low-priced players I bought at auction, Im hopefully adding the cream of the keeper crop. $54 Tatis (this is where Im torn). This can work, but I think theres a better way to do it. Aaron Ashby His power mid-to-upper 90s sinker paired with a slider and changeup he throws for strikes speaks to an absurd ceiling. In other words, this team projects the positional leaders on the 2022 ESPN Player Rater. All three pitches fastball, slider, curveball can whiff double-digits on a given night. It's in this space where I predict -- nay, guess -- at the highest ceilings in baseball's (somewhat) distant future. Kyle Hendricks The second half wasnt kind to Hendricks, becoming a clear drop before the final weeks. John Means The opening month was brilliant, the injury and spin rate drops were not. Yeah, Im gonna share some of my takes on Keeper League Strategy. Thanks for the thoughts on this. hide 1. Drew Rasmussen Only went five innings for the Rays but his four-seamer was ridiculously good at 97 mph. Unclear how the Brewers will use him, though, and there will be bumps in the road. Goldschmidt-$21 maybe 6 or 7 or 8 or would you look to move for some bats? Ill share some of my thoughts on the best ways to run a successful keeper league team. Players can easily go 50% or more over their normal values. Fastball is solid, the question is if the splitter can be a strong third option that allows him to go six frames. Fantasy baseball roundtable: Who is the No. Bryce Harper Jan 4, 2022. If you are going to dump; be the first to dump. This could mean a better second half than first for Anderson in 2022. 1. For our purposes, were going to assume you can only keep a limited number, and there is some form of limitation on how long you can keep each player. I think Im close. Alcantara $10 This leaves me with between $148 and $183 on draft day to draft 13-15 players. I can keep Salvy for $17 this yr (can freeze next yr at the same price). Miggy $13 (B) Most would keep Bryant, but I really like Murphy in Coors. That strikeout rate was up three points from the previous year, while that walk rate was down more than three points. Im likely to be drafting multiple guys from here in March. Sleeper: Manuel Margot (27). Stop thinking Meat, youre hurting the team. If youre in an auction keeper league you know all too well what keeper league inflation is all about. Can keep one player at round drafted in the year before: Bryce Harper Round 2 That guy just didnt know baseball well enough to be in charge. OF Andrew Benintendi Clayton Kershaw The elbow injury doesnt look to require surgery, though you have to wonder how many innings youll get out of Kershaw and how elite they will be. It's Jimenez and Adell who might take you by surprise, but their raw power potential ranks among the best of all prospects. But if you did that, Id keep Varsho, Verlander, and I guess Adames, though many would argue Lux. Dinelson Lamet He was as dominant as they come in 2020 before his elbow started barking. Walker Buehler Im stoked he went over 200 frames, though Burnes, despite 40 fewer innings, still earned 20 more strikeouts. 12 tm, 55 roto. The amount of volatility on these rankings year over year is telling. 2023 Yahoo Fantasy Sports LLC. Melendez is 23 and a HR machine. Meanwhile, closer situations change all the time. The math works out, but reality is gonna kick you in the huevos if you take this approach. The WHIP will always be a problem, though. Brady Singer Sinker/slider approach didnt change this year and it had its peaks and valleys. Doug Anderson is a 15-year veteran of the Fantasy Sports industry. A full healthy off-season should help, though. Too much can happen in just a few years and sadly many leagues dont make it for the long haul. We can only keep 2 players, and we have randomized snake draft format: I plan on spending what it takes for Nola, which I expect will be close to $40 given the supply issues. A Billy Wagner-esque career isn't entirely out of the question. This is a weaker position than you might think, from a prospects standpoint, but Alonso is one of the good ones. Hopefully he does not catch on as a manager anywhere else. First: Essentially, you dontneedto get two of the Top 15 starters to excel. Thanks, Doug, for ur insight. Ive seen way too many analysts suggest you just allocate that excess money out to the rest of the player pool on an even percentage basis. If he has a rotation spot, he becomesveryinteresting. He'll begin this season's second half in Triple-A ball, and could be ready to take over as a Miami Marlins regular by Opening Day 2019. Looked like a defacto ace in the second half. Ive been talking to the Judge owner a bit. Your recommendation? On offense is where it gets tough. The rest of your league doesnt think this way. Four years ago, Jose Ramirez was only a marginal prospect, with a .162 batting average and only one extra-base hit in 26 career big league games. A full healthy off-season should help, though. I can only keep 5, no draft stipulations, no limit on years kept. Deal? Upper 90s heater, a great slider, and a developing changeup. He fell off hard in the late months of summer, but who knows. Remember, these ranks are based on a 12-teamer, 55 roto format. 4. I imagine Ill be separating this one out in February and scattering them across the other tiers. Pitching will be relatively thin this year, with most elite pitchers off the board. Especially the last half. Brandon Woodruff Expect 200 frames next season and the ratio floor is amazing. Meanwhile, Felix Hernandez enjoyed one of the best seasons of his career as a 28-year-old in 2014, finishing second in the American League Cy Young Award race behind a 2.14 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, both of which led the league. To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Thats where Im coming from with these rankings and its important to not treat them as a Best Ball ranking. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball. 3 overall name on our 2014 Player Rater come season's end. 8 team h2h points league, Julio Rodriguez Curious your thoughts on that? Fastball can get by and when the changeup is there, things can work easily. Might be able to squeeze some value out of Brad Peacock Itll be hard to pile up wins and Ks, so I would focus on ERA, WHIP, and try to finish top 3 in saves Hope this helps. Gerrit Cole-$29 Doug, fantastic read as i rarely see articles about auction keeper strategy so i really appreciate it. "Sleeper" picks, however, do not necessarily follow this order. Michael Kopech If the White Sox give him a rotation spot, he could dominate quickly. We have 5 keepers for two years. Thanks for this early list and comments! All rights reserved. Your email address will not be published. The first type builds a nice base of low-priced keepers and when the time is right, trades most of them for expensive stars in an attempt to win that year. If I cant make a trade, Varsho, Adames, and Verlander or Severino are the ones Im thinking about. Plenty of potential here. You can only keep a guy for 2 years, so the keeper options below are only for this year and must be sent back next year. Andrelton Simmons-$1 Tough call. We start; C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, IF, 4 OF, DH, 5 SP, 3 RP, 1 P. I think Im pretty set on these 12. I also need to take a moment to express my general philosophy for drafting starting pitchers. You should be able to at least equal his production in the draft. Shane McClanahan. Im in a keep 15 league and seem to have more SP keepers than bats and all at good prices ($5 raise each year, $320 cap for the 15 players at keeper submission time). I can keep up to 5, and cost is last years price + $5. Here is a list of Starting Pitchers who had a 2021 ADP of #260 or later: And thats not even including this rag-tag crew containing many pitchers you were able to grab at specific points of the season for legit value: Now you understand. Verlander and Severino have obvious question marks, but if they return to previous levels theres no way to get that in the draft. Sale still makes this list, but otherwise I see the new aces in fantasy being those who haven't yet reached their 30th birthdays. One problem we have in 12 team Roto 66 is keeping players involved who are at the bottom. $10 Mullins Monitor where he lands in Free Agency his rotation spot and defense/offensive behind him may change things drastically. 8 on the Player Rater. Snell-$7 Do I pull the trigger on that? At this point, youshouldhave at least four starters you trust to not drop during the season, which opens you up to chase as many ceiling arms as you want. If the slider is always there, Gilbert will excel. Each of them has the potential to deliver serious value for fantasy managers and could become an absolute steal this season. The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes. McClanaham $10 Gerrit Cole I may be changing this one by February, but its the Mike Trout rule. Im hoping to get rid of some of those valleys in the next few years while still winning my share of leagues. To use an example from four years ago, Mike Trout was the No. Julio Uras It was an incredible sub 3.00 ERA season across 185+ frames and he did it without his changeup on point. Breaker was working and he needs both of those former elements to return to form. Josiah Gray He lost his command in September, but got it back by the end. Of course, you have to think a little more long-term. Job security for all but the elite closers is almost non-existent. 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